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market insight and commentary on futures markets

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Posted by on in Uncategorized

As of 10:00 CET

Stronger Australian jobs report out overnight and AUD is much higher across the board. We are looking for further upside in the AUD next 2 weeks. Key resistance is 0.7170 at the moment.

Crude held 42.50 key support yesterday, which is a huge level. Looking for a bounce today, but we need to get above 43.40 resistance pretty soon to get things moving. DOE crude inventory data out today as well at 16:30 and OPEC Monthly report at 12:45. So plenty of event risk.

The FX market seems to be pretty much a US dollar play at the moment combined with crude oil. When Euro is bid, it is bid across the board on the crosses as well and vice versa.

CHF is looking very rich and we are very bearish on the CHF going forward and would not be surprised to see it towards 1.2 vs EUR in the next 3-5 months.

ES has key support at 2062 and the 120min chart is bearish with lower highs the last few days.

NOKSEK testing key rising trendline on daily chart, looking like a long here with stop at 99.30.

 

Contact info:

Trading Desk                                            

Tel:        +47-40 38 27 52

Email:    This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Web:     www.kbrcapitalpartners.com

 

Risk Warning:  

Any information in this report is based on data considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by KBR Capital Partners AS with regard to the accuracy of the data. This information is provided on condition that we accept no responsibility, legal or other for its contents. We, including our directors, officers, employees or publishers, disclaim all liabilities. Any statement constitutes only current opinions, which are subject to change. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed to be, or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any investments mentioned herein. Prices can go down as well as up. There is a significant risk involved in derivatives trading, including the risk of loss greater than the original investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Conditions can vary from client to client, and therefore influence performance. The opportunity for profit creates a corresponding risk of loss. Anyone wishing to invest in any of the products mentioned should seek their own financial or professional advice.

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Posted by on in Uncategorized

Thursday 12th of March 2015 as of 10:00 CET

The stronger US dollar is likely to have a major effect on the net earnings of the US companies in Q1 and Q2, which could be an issues for the S&P500 in the near to medium term. On the other side the European stocks is looking better and better with the falling Euro and increase QE from the ECB.

Crude oil is below the 49 dollar per barrel this morning and the rally above 52 level last week was short lived. We have resistance up at the 52.50 level followed by key resistance at 55. The 55 level is the key pivot levels for the bulls that have to be taken out, to open for a major move higher.  The strengthening US dollar is also an issue for higher oil prices, because when you look at the relative price of Oil in other currencies it is going up.

From Tuesday, “S&P 500 futures failed at 2117 last week and the daily close below 2085 Friday opens for a larger move lower and next objective is 2036.” It hit 2038 low yesterday. Key Rising support around 2030 for today.

Euro is looking weak below the 1,07 level and the next major downside target is the 1.00 level.

Silver looks like an interesting long towards 15 level for a potential rebound towards 18,50 level.

Gold is weak below 1230 USD. Big support is 1080 level.

Asian markets closed higher with Hong Kong Hang Seng Index up 0,34%, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 up 0,98% and Nikkei 225 down +1.43%.

Contact info:

Trading Desk                                            

Tel:        +47-40 38 27 52

Email:    This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Web:     www.kbrcapitalpartners.com

 

Risk Warning:  

Any information in this report is based on data considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by KBR Capital Partners AS with regard to the accuracy of the data. This information is provided on condition that we accept no responsibility, legal or other for its contents. We, including our directors, officers, employees or publishers, disclaim all liabilities. Any statement constitutes only current opinions, which are subject to change. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed to be, or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any investments mentioned herein. Prices can go down as well as up. There is a significant risk involved in derivatives trading, including the risk of loss greater than the original investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Conditions can vary from client to client, and therefore influence performance. The opportunity for profit creates a corresponding risk of loss. Anyone wishing to invest in any of the products mentioned should seek their own financial or professional advice.

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Posted by on in Uncategorized

Tuesday 10th of March 2015 as of 10:00 CET

US payrolls data came in stronger than expected Friday coming in at 295k compared to estimates of 235k. Following the data, the S&P500 fell the most in 2 months on speculation that the FED will hike rates in in one of the next 2 meetings.

A thing to keep in mind is the strengthening dollar could become a major drag on the earnings for US companies in Q1 and Q2.

Crude oil is below the 50 dollar per barrel this morning and the rally above 52 level last week was short lived. We have resistance up at the 52.50 level followed by key resistance at 55. The 55 level is the key pivot levels for the bulls that have to be taken out, to open for a major move higher.

S&P 500 futures failed at 2117 last week and the daily close below 2085 Friday opens for a larger move lower and next objective is 2036.

Euro is looking weak below the 1,09 level and the next major downside target is the 1.07 level.

Silver looks like an interesting long towards 15 level for a potential rebound towards 18,50 level.

Gold is weak below 1230 USD. Big support is 1080 level.

Asian markets closed mixed with Hong Kong Hang Seng Index down 0,94%, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 up 0,05% and Nikkei 225 down -0,67%.

Contact info:

Trading Desk                                             

Tel:        +47-40 38 27 52

Email:    This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Web:     www.kbrcapitalpartners.com

 

Risk Warning:  

Any information in this report is based on data considered to be reliable, but no representations or guarantees are made by KBR Capital Partners AS with regard to the accuracy of the data. This information is provided on condition that we accept no responsibility, legal or other for its contents. We, including our directors, officers, employees or publishers, disclaim all liabilities. Any statement constitutes only current opinions, which are subject to change. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed to be, or constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any investments mentioned herein. Prices can go down as well as up. There is a significant risk involved in derivatives trading, including the risk of loss greater than the original investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Conditions can vary from client to client, and therefore influence performance. The opportunity for profit creates a corresponding risk of loss. Anyone wishing to invest in any of the products mentioned should seek their own financial or professional advice.

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